Brazilian President  Dilma Rousseff has suffered the first major fall in her popularity, a  poll showed on Wednesday, as she battles a rash of corruption scandals  and a slowing economy.
Although her ratings remain relatively high, a sustained fall could  undermine the 63-year-old career civil servant's ability to stay the  course on economic austerity measures and make it harder to push reforms  through an unruly Congress.
Rousseff's approval rating dropped 6 percentage points to 67 percent,  while the number of those who disapproved more than doubled to 25  percent, a survey by the Ibope polling firm showed.
"People had expectations that weren't fulfilled," said Flavio Castelo  Branco, director of economic policy with the National Industry  Confederation, which releases the poll.
The center-left Rousseff took office on January 1 amid high  expectations, buoyed by a roaring economy and the huge success of her  predecessor and patron, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.
But she has faced an increasingly tough economic environment, plagued  by inflation and a marked slowdown in growth even before the global  market plunges of recent days.
Her government adopted $30 billion in unpopular budget cuts and has  hiked interest rates five times to 12.5 percent to combat inflation,  jacking up costs for the country's credit-reliant consumers. She has  taken a tougher stand against corruption and nepotism than Lula,  angering her main coalition partner but apparently failing to reap the  reward of greater public support.
Further falls in polls could rob her of the crucial political clout  she needs to maintain budget cuts and continue to root out corruption in  ministries.
"She needs to improve her communication skills or she risks losing  more political capital," said Rafael Cortez, a political analyst with  Tendencias consultancy in Sao Paulo.
HIGHER RATES UNPOPULAR
Despite some improvement, Rousseff still shies from public  appearances and, unlike the charismatic Lula, struggles to connect with  ordinary people.
Among planned reforms to improve Brazil's growth prospects that have  yet to be taken up by Congress are an overhaul of the country's  Byzantine tax code, and legislation to regulate royalties from the  country's oil riches.
With the mounting global crisis set to slow Brazil's economic growth  more than initially expected, Rousseff aides fear her ratings could turn  further south.
"Her biggest concern right now is the economy," said a source in the presidential palace on condition of anonymity.
Investment bank Credit Suisse lowered its 2011 economic growth  forecast for Brazil on Tuesday to 2.9 percent, well below the consensus  of around 4 percent and a far cry from last year's stellar performance  of 7.5 percent.
Rousseff's disapproval ratings rose across the board in the Ibope  poll, from education to health and public security. But the biggest jump  in dissatisfaction came in monetary policy, rising 20 percentage points  to 63 percent.
Rousseff's fight against poverty got the best marks from poll  respondents, though that rating also fell from the previous poll in  March. She has made the eradication of extreme poverty a major policy  goal and launched her flagship social welfare program in June.
Since June, Rousseff has lost three cabinet members to graft and  ethics scandals and faces fresh corruption scandals in the agriculture  and tourism ministries.
The Ibope survey polled 2002 people from July 28-31 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
No comments:
Post a Comment